Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 34.819910 37.507292 40.444518 43.920591 47.958996 52.550175 58.235153
2025-09-28 30.400607 33.830482 37.811865 42.861986 49.232483 57.206341 68.310410
2025-10-05 28.877796 32.935590 37.870544 44.494208 53.467217 65.752871 85.052619
2025-10-12 27.508893 31.952634 37.551142 45.408219 56.701483 73.445042 103.024450
2025-10-19 26.295593 30.988472 37.071139 45.930149 59.334723 80.718429 123.241197
2025-10-26 25.146665 29.977669 36.384272 46.005890 61.220876 87.156722 145.152325
2025-11-02 23.904946 28.734708 35.247125 45.253209 61.619368 91.038877 163.902181
2025-11-09 22.730840 27.498753 34.011443 44.199752 61.324863 93.510415 180.932814
2025-11-16 21.756321 26.474594 32.996780 43.373140 61.274209 96.428549 201.734429
2025-11-23 20.933264 25.612497 32.153352 42.726919 61.433229 99.817677 227.628368
2025-11-30 20.613920 25.434199 32.289643 43.653520 64.590484 110.849844 299.023667
2025-12-07 19.998214 24.799227 31.699053 43.314465 65.269376 116.205347 357.272115
2025-12-14 19.232029 23.936024 30.747867 42.345601 64.688861 118.510650 408.571940
2025-12-21 18.511674 23.112259 29.818447 41.350155 63.945920 120.276898 466.475070
2025-12-28 18.432006 23.215506 30.318247 42.880954 68.742013 140.372769 877.558714
2026-01-04 18.203851 23.084579 30.437055 43.737026 72.253113 158.988425 2044.517080
2026-01-11 17.913547 22.844802 30.363399 44.225492 75.021157 177.248687 13032.707571
2026-01-18 17.559811 22.492463 30.084665 44.296353 76.796145 193.179676 NaN
2026-01-25 17.080719 21.930315 29.432657 43.591902 76.492042 199.570328 NaN
2026-02-01 16.576023 21.312700 28.662985 42.604975 75.320312 201.142188 NaN
2026-02-08 16.137286 20.783760 28.020566 41.829770 74.619400 205.105043 NaN
2026-02-15 15.752106 20.326285 27.479949 41.223246 74.300287 211.310576 NaN
2026-02-22 15.649364 20.302972 27.666955 42.092792 78.217948 247.826362 NaN